Date Submitted: Thu Nov 05, 2009
NEW DELHI - In the clearest sign yet that economy is picking up, the government of India Oct. 30 said it may decide on ending fiscal stimulus after the October-December quarter and sought political consensus for passage of key legislations for reforms.
The government expects growth to pick up to around nine per cent in the next two years. The country grew by over nine per cent for three consecutive years till 2007-08.
The Reserve Bank has already taken the first step to exit the easy monetary policy stance adopted last year to insulate the economy from shocks of the global financial meltdown.
“I think I shall have to watch situation for the progress in the second quarter and third quarter. Perhaps, I may be in a position, I am not asserting that position, to articulate it (exit strategy), sometimes when the D-day will come,” Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said at the Hindustan Times Leadership Summit here.
Although exit from fiscal stimulus is a sign of recovery, he said reforms, including in labor and financial sectors, are key to returning to nine per cent growth.
“We don’t have the required majority in the two Houses (of Parliament) to clear the bills... a broad political consensus is needed,” Mukherjee said.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh separately told the Summit that his government would push forward reforms.
“We need to push forward the reforms process in the areas you have mentioned and we will do so,” Singh said replying to a question by Rajya Sabha MP N K Singh on stalled reforms in labor, insurance and the financial sector.
In its fiscal stimulus measures to perk up the slowing down economy, the government cut excise duty by six per cent, service tax by two per cent in phases and increased planned expenditure.
The economy grew by 6.1 per cent in the first quarter of this fiscal. The numbers for the second quarter are expected by November-end and that of the third quarter by February-end.
From next fiscal, Goods and Services Tax is expected to be introduced, which would make a broad comment on whether stimulus is withdrawn or not.
However, Mukherjee said he would not be surprised, if GST implementation is delayed by a few months.
Mukherjee said he would share his perception on exit strategy at the G-20 Finance Ministers’ meeting in Scotland, starting from November 6.
“Next week, I am going to share my perception what should be the exit policy in G-20 Finance Ministers meeting in Scotland, just next Saturday,” he said.
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